Saturday, September 24, 2016

For the Record: Team OddsShark SuperContest Picks, Week 3

Brutal, brutal, brutal, brutal, brutal. Well, okay, one fewer "brutal": I went 1-4 last week, thanks to the Lions getting three touchdowns called back, the Panthers hanging 46 on a talented 49ers defense, the Cardinals doing THAT to the Buccaneers and Sam Bradford shocking everybody.


In Week 3, despite a paucity of games I feel really good about, I'm hoping things go a little bit better this week.

7 Cardinals
18 Vikings
23 Steelers
26 Jets
27 Colts

Arizona Cardinals (-4) at Buffalo Bills

The Cardinals' Week 1 loss to Jimmy Garoppolo and the Patriots looks worlds better after Jimmy G shredded the Dolphins and the Cardinals debacled the talented young Bucs. I'm concerned about the +4 here, as the Bills have talent and Anthony Lynn could have a Jim Bob Cooter-like effect on the offense. But ultimately, the Cardinals are just miles ahead of these Bills. I'll lay the four.

Minnesota Vikings (+7) vs. Carolina Panthers

The Vikings have played stifling defense and the Panthers, well, haven't. Last week I bet on the Panthers not being able to score enough points to cover 13.5, and that didn't work out--but the Vikings can actually score points, too, and are even better set up to challenge the Panthers' rookie corners than the 49ers were. The crowd at US Bank Stadium is going to be a snakepit, and I'll gladly take seven points here.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

This feels like the right time for both of these two teams to come back down to Earth. Pittsburgh has been incredible over the first two games, despite missing half their offense. Carson Wentz and the Eagles have looked very professional, except they've played two very poor teams. It wouldn't surprise me if this is close at times, but the Steelers going to make Wentz look a lot more like a rookie.

New York Jets (+3) at Kansas City Chiefs

Going into Arrowhead is never pleasant, but the Chiefs have shown precious little fire on defense and not enough spark on offense. The Jets nearly (and should have) beaten a strong Bengals team in Week 1, and largely had their way with the Bills in Week 2. The public way underestimates this team, and I love getting points here.

Indianapolis Colts (-3) vs. San Diego Chargers

 I should have stayed away from this game, but Andrew Luck has been Andrew Luck and that's going to do the job about as often as not. This could be a who-scores-last situation, but I don't believe Philip Rivers can be consistent enough to put up three straight 30-plus-point games.

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